The Supreme Court has shown that it is ready to end the Roe v. Wade case.Moiradnegan

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MeWorse than expected, expectations were already low. The 15-week abortion ban in Mississippi constitutes the most serious challenge to the Roe v. Wade case of its generation when the Supreme Court prepares to hear oral arguments at the Dobbs vs. Jackson Women’s Health Organization. bottom. The right to abortion. But the line between rational experts was that the court would take the cake and try to eat it, mostly for fear of criticism from the American people of choice. .. Intact.

The most compelling version of this discussion came from Slate Mark Joseph Stern, Like the Planned Parenthood v Casey in 1992, courts predicted that abortion rights could be weakened without abandoning the abortion altogether. In Casey, the Supreme Court lowered the scrutiny standards that apply to the state’s abortion restrictions from strict “strict scrutiny” standards to more adaptable “excessive burden” standards, and the state states fetal viability. After that, I confirmed that abortion can be completely banned. Pregnancy in which the foetation can survive outside the womb, usually about 24 weeks.

Stern, like many others, predicted that courts could impose stricter legal tests on abortion restrictions. This is a “reasonable rationale review” and excludes feasibility criteria. As a result, states can more easily ban and limit abortions, even before they become viable, but they are still not allowed to ban abortions altogether. “The court can return from 24 weeks to 15 or perhaps 12 at the end of the first semester from the time the state can completely ban abortion,” Stern wrote. “The diminished right to abortion survives and is abused but still exists.”

Nevertheless, the end of feasibility criteria remained virtually disastrous for access to abortion on earth, and for women’s freedom and dignity.Only this was explained elegantly Ilinkermon in New YorkThe attacks from conservatives over the last three decades have increased legal reliance on survival criteria for the right to abortion, even if the development of pre-pregnancy and neonatal care boosted viability itself in the early stages of pregnancy. .. “If for some reason you are allowed to ban abortion in 15 weeks, why not draw a line at 6 o’clock,” Carmon asked.

In fact, anarchy scrambles, as conservative states ban abortions as soon as possible and push back restrictions during pregnancy, leaving the right to technically abortion while removing the criteria for viability. Invite. Julie Rickelman, a longtime advocate of abortion rights and a lawyer representing Mississippi’s only abortion clinic in the Dobbs case, frankly said that if practicability was lost, Law would be virtually de facto. It’s no longer a good law. “If the court upholds this law, it will abandon the line of feasibility and overturn Roe,” she told Carmon. “It is the cornerstone of the law that has protected people’s access to abortion.”

In other words, the best scenarios were legal turmoil, misogyny legislation, diminished physical autonomy for women, and millions of people subject to forced pregnancies.

But even these predictions of going through “optimism” among legal observers have proved too rosy now that the Supreme Court has become a conservative majority strangler. In oral arguments at Dobbs on Wednesday, five of the six conservatives in court showed little interest in maintaining eggs while removing viability. Instead, they focused on completely eliminating Roe and the right to abortion. After all, the conservatives seemed to have five definitive votes to decide that the Constitution did not protect the right to end pregnancy: Samuel Alito, Clarence Thomas, Neil Gorsuch, Brett. Kavanaugh, Amy Connie Barrett.

The only exception among the Conservatives was Chief Justice of the Supreme Court John Roberts, who seemed almost desperate to pay attention to the line of feasibility. In the course of the discussion, Roberts repeatedly returned to the feasibility question, emphasizing that it was rejected as a possible criterion in the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision and later adopted by Casey. But no other conservatives took food.

The two “swing” votes are Amy Coney Barrett and Brett Kavanaugh, speaking of a very conservative court having such a thing. Roberts, with a helpless indication that marked his career as Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, either of them to accept his apparently favorable proposal to keep Roe’s shell while plunging into the standards of feasibility. Could not be persuaded.

Instead, Kavanaugh spent much of his speaking time to his colleagues to ensure that they did not have to be bound by Law’s precedent, and the Supreme Court overturned its own previous decision long. Listed the proceedings. Barrett, on the other hand, emphasized the availability of adoption as an appropriate alternative to abortion, allowing at some point the mother who gave birth to relinquish custody and leave the baby to the care of others, the so-called ” Insisted on a “safe shelter” law. Immediate childbirth punishment provides appropriate treatment for pregnant women who are unable or unwilling to become parents. The idea was that if a woman is pregnant and does not want to be, the acceptable result is that she becomes pregnant and gives birth to a child and then simply gives it.

On the other hand, the toughest conservatives offer a more rigorous and ominous assessment of abortion as a matter of law, and their sadistic and radical views show where the courts are heading in future cases. Both Arito and Thomas repeatedly referred to abortion as “killing” and said they were open to recognizing the individuality of the fetal. So far, the ban on abortion after survival has led to the legal notion that from that point on, women are interested in protecting the life of the fetal, disabling their interest in controlling their bodies. It was based. However, Arito and Thomas believe that the interest lies not only in the state but also in the foetation itself, suggesting that this interest begins very early. “The foetation is interested in living a life,” Arito said at one point. “It hasn’t changed from before and after feasibility.”

The suggestion that the foetation may have a benefit in itself-a benefit that can be considered equal to or greater than the benefit of the woman carrying it-is an anti-selection that has a dramatic impact on the health of the woman, freedom. It’s a dramatic step in law. , And access to public life. After Wednesday’s oral argument, it seems certain that the Roe v. Wade case will soon be overturned. For this court, that’s just the beginning.

The Supreme Court has shown that it is ready to end the Roe v. Wade case.Moiradnegan

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