Newsom Study Guide: What Democrats and Republicans Can Learn from California Recalls | US Politics


MeThere was anger at Gavin Newsom’s pandemic restrictions, and eventually the ballot was dismissed. However, the Governor of California has doubled, putting his coronavirus policy at the center of the campaign and making his main enemy, anti-mask, anti-vaccine right-wing radio host Larry Elder, a dangerous agent for Trump. Cast as.

That winning strategy could have a national impact on both Democrats and Republicans who are already looking ahead to the 2022 midterm elections.

Dan Schnur, a political lecturer at several universities, said: “Newsam was able to address Covid’s problem, which could have been a fatal weakness for him, and turned it into a considerable strength.”

Republican-led recall mask prevention and vaccination stances were weakened by the rise of delta variants and the surge in infections that overwhelmed hospitals. California James Lancetayl, a political scientist at the University of San Francisco, talked about all over the United States.

“In at least some states, especially the blue and some purple states, Newsome’s strategy has provided a model for Democratic candidates,” Taylor added.

That Newsom Overcame the recall With such a big difference, Taylor said he was in an ideal position to run for the State Council in the next few years. The state experienced a massive surge in Covid last winter, and Newsom had to overcome major failures, such as slow vaccine deployment at first.

Mindy Romero, founder of the Inclusive Democracy Center, an independent research organization, said the recall also revealed the potential limits of Trumpian politics in the post-Trump era. More moderate candidates are willing to try something new, a strategy that helped Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger beat Democratic Gray Davis in the last call in California in 2003. You may have appealed to Democrats.

“Many people voted against the recall because they feared Larry Elder becoming governor,” she said. “That doesn’t mean they’re happy with Newsom.”

Indeed, some voters spoken by the Guardian prior to the election confirmed the fear that California could go the way of Florida and Texas under the leadership of the elders. Retired John Friedrich, who lives in Stockton, California, about an hour south of the capital, said: , Sacramento.

Still, it may not weaken its relationship with Republican trumpism. The elder, who did not win the governorship, nevertheless won the most votes among Newsom’s challengers.Elder, who Implied execution in 2022 In his concession speech on Tuesday, he reused the former president’s “big lie” conspiracy theory that elections lost by the Republicans were fraudulent against them.

“What I learned from the recall is that Republicans aren’t ready for the post-Trump era. They’re doubling Trump,” Schnur advised a conservative candidate. “If they want to regain the majority of Congress next year, that could be a really big problem.”

Larry Elder reused the former president’s “big lie” conspiracy theory. Photo: Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times / REX / Shutterstock

Still, the peculiarities of California’s recall process and the state’s unique political structure confuse attempts to view California as a broad barometer of national affairs. Conservatives who opposed Newsom, a widespread and popular governor who took office by historic difference in 2018, could cause a call election by collecting only 1.7 million signatures in a state with 22 million registered voters. It’s done. Here, Democrats outnumber Republicans almost 2: 1. In short, Democratic candidates already have significant mathematical advantages, regardless of strategy.

However, the race a few weeks before the election day could be a lesson for California Democrats and has long been abandoned by indifferent voters, especially elected leaders, nationwide. We need to work hard to bring together the minority voters who have come.

When a poll in August found that democratic voters, especially Latin voters, were distracted and discouraged. make up Approximately 32% of voters – Newsome’s campaign scrambled, potentially robbing the governor of seats. Christian Alana, Vice President of the Latin Community Foundation, said: “But what was really shown in this election was that reaching out to Latin voters needed to be done early and often.”

Votes are still being aggregated in California, and neither final counts nor demographic breakdowns are available yet. However, Political Data Inc calculated that only about 30% of ballots mailed to Latin voters were returned early, with a 50% return rate for ballots mailed to white voters. “The turnout of elections is not representative of the population,” Romero said, although fewer people tend to vote for special elections than for presidential and midterm elections.

“Voters have helped make California such a blue state, and it’s clear that it was the key to Newsom’s victory,” she added. “Now I think the Democratic Party can turn this into an opportunity to get to know voters better and build better relationships with them.”

Newsom Study Guide: What Democrats and Republicans Can Learn from California Recalls | US Politics

Source link Newsom Study Guide: What Democrats and Republicans Can Learn from California Recalls | US Politics


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