NSHE TIDE The seaweed on the white sands of Cornish Beach was pleasantly high and carefully combed to obscure it. Seven world leaders have returned from a beach photo for a meeting. As they walked, only one was treated in the arms of the President of the United States, completely across his back, and the President of France, Emmanuel Macron, was treated for a total of 37 seconds. The advanced art of diplomatic choreography makes such fleeting gestures valuable. Wasn’t it a kind of dedication?May have been sponsored by Boris Johnson of the United Kingdom NSSeven meetings in June. But the French president got the honor.
When Joe Biden was elected, France saw a rare opportunity to establish itself as America’s favorite European interlocutor. Brexit continued the debate, driving Britain’s usefulness in the eyes of its cross-Atlantic allies. Germany was trying to retire Angela Merkel, the de facto leader of the continent and the American-chosen European. Who should intervene rather than the English-speaking Macron, who was once chosen as the “young leader” of French-Americanism? Biden’s former boss, Barack Obama, called the French candidate in 2017 to wish him good luck. “Is this Emmanuel?” Obama’s voice boomed on the speakerphone in the Paris campaign office, urging Macron to continue the campaign hard to the end.
Moreover, France, a fellow revolutionary and America’s oldest ally, seemed to have very good ties to the new administration. Secretary of State Antony Blinken Lycee In Paris, so was Iran’s envoy, Robert Murray. The United States provides information and logistics for France-led counter-terrorism operations in the Sahel. The French and US Navy are training together, including the Indo-Pacific, where France has more than 7,000 troops (and nearly 2 million civilians). U.S. security analyst Michael Shurkin said the pursuit of France’s unique strategy of building a geopolitical presence in the region in the face of assertive China was “good for the United States.” increase.
So it was a mixture of startle, anger, and anger that the French learned about America’s new defense pact between Australia and Britain. It broke the existing French contract to sell submarines to Australia. Losing a big defense contract was one thing. It was completely different from being put in the dark for months by three close friends who apparently didn’t see a place for you. Macron’s Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian said, “Allies do not do this with each other,” calling it “piercing from behind,” and calling the trio “a serious breach of lies, duplication, trust and contempt.” I accused him. “. France recalled the ambassador to the United States (and the ambassador to Australia) for the first time since 1793. It was Boris Johnson who took off to the White House this week with a victory while Macron was hurt by Elysee.
It’s hard to exaggerate the depth of colère In Paris as it is to understand the American failure to predict it. France has the ability to act with ruthless self-interest and ignore others. It’s a prickly, proud country, and don’t hesitate to shout out what others are protecting themselves. But the secret deal was as brutal as a Western ally recently landed on another ally. Trust is the first victim. It took Macron seven days to accept Biden’s call. Mr Biden agreed that “open consultations between allies” should take place. Macron agreed to send his ambassador back to Washington. Trust-building negotiations will begin. However, the scratches remain.
What are the consequences of all these? In the short term, neglected France will be more distrustful and mysterious about other issues and willing to compromise, provide trade grounds, and engage in regulatory disputes. .. France cannot tell what the European Union will do. So far, the European people’s sympathy for France is extremely poor. But it can shape and block the position. Postponed meetings and summits may seem inadequate as a means of retaliation, but the cumulative effects can be corrosive.
This episode will also force the French to push their limits, at least when measured against English-speaking alliances, without rethinking their ability to pursue their own Indo-Pacific strategy. Some voices outside the government, especially political rights, are calling for more dramatic de Gaulle-like prosperity. Generally distanced from France in 1966 NATO Then I went out to have a sweet talk with the Russians. Prior to the French presidential election in April next year, rival candidates are calling for some sort of replay. Former French ambassador to the United States Gerard Araud warns of “the temptation of Gaullism.”
De Gaulle’s ghost
Macron does argue that France should act as a “balance.” Following the American chambolic withdrawal from Kabul, submarine episodes weakened the voice of French Atlanticists. But Macron is not anti-American. He may not have sought a total confrontation with China, but he has long urged Europeans to see China as a strategic rival on industrial and security issues.
The geopolitical conclusion he would probably draw from all of this is rather that he was right. The United States was an unreliable ally for continental Europeans during the rise of China. This is not a momentary trend. And Europe needs greater independence. This returns France to a tenacious, but generally thankful, effort to build Europe’s “strategic autonomy.”
Biden said in their call that the defense of Europe was ” NATOAs Mr. Macron has always insisted. But the concept is still disturbing fellow Europeans. Most of them, especially those near the Russian border, are willing to rely on American security. Few people share the desire to spur the military culture of French defense and expeditions. (Especially in Germany.) No one agrees what “strategic autonomy” really means. However, low odds rarely discourage Macron. After the latest snab, the unembraced French president will undoubtedly conclude that he has little choice but to continue to challenge. ■■
This article was published in the printed European section under the heading “The great subsnub”.
French humiliation by the United States has a lasting effect
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