Biden aims to prevent conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but lacks time

Date:

Russian President Vladimir Putin made a speech at the plenary session of the Valdai Discussion Club held in Sochi, Russia on October 21, 2021.

Mikhail Arkady | Getty Images News | Getty Images

President of the United States Joe Biden Expected to give Russian President Vladimir Putin has issued a harsh warning Although opposed to attacking Ukraine during a video call on Tuesday, experts say there is a lack of time for the United States to prevent further hostilities between neighboring countries.

The call fears that Russia plans to launch some form of military action against Ukraine, following Russian military movements at the border and increasingly aggressive rhetoric from Moscow to Kiev. Come inside.

On his side Putin Russia said on November 30 that it was concerned that military exercises in Ukraine would take place near the border, saying that they threatened Moscow.

He claims that Russia is free to move troops within its territory, calling such a concept “alarmist” and may be preparing the country to invade Ukraine. Denied the claim that there is.

However, supporters of Russian politics are not convinced that Russia’s intentions for Ukraine, which was part of the Soviet Union until its dissolution in 1991, are benign.

Many experts (and Ukrainian leaders) believe Putin — In 2005, the union’s dissolution was described as “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century.” — With the desire to rebuild the Soviet Empire, Russia often seeks to expand or impose influence on the former Soviet republics such as Belarus and Ukraine. Russia opposes Ukraine’s desire to join NATO and its neighbor, the EU.

Is there a compromise?

Experts are also not convinced that Biden and its European allies can find a compromise with Putin, and find a peaceful solution to rising tensions between Russia, Ukraine, and the wider western. It warns that the window of opportunity is closed.

Russian expert Timothy Ash, senior strategist in the emerging market at Bluebay Asset Management, said Putin Biden’s call could be “very difficult” and “it’s hard to tell where the compromise comes from.” Said.

“Putin wants security on further NATO expansion, Ukraine’s misalignment, Ukraine’s rearmament and restrictions on NATO’s presence in Ukraine. Byden cannot give these, Ukraine I would never agree, unless there was extreme coercion, “Ash said. Watch out for Monday night.

“Biden attempts to gain time for Ukraine to continue building defenses, using sanctions sticks and more negotiating carrots. [The] The question is, is Putin ready to wait? “

Ash added that Putin may think that now is the best time to carry out his will to Ukraine and the West.

The Kremlin called for “a good and predictable relationship with the United States” before the phone call Tuesday morning, saying “no one planned to attack,” Reuters reported. However, he added, “There is a red line.”

The Kremlin also said he did not expect a breakthrough at the Biden-Putin meeting, but noted that Putin had listened to Biden’s concerns and was ready to embark on his own concerns, Cool. I asked for a good head.

What Russia wants

There were reports of an increase in Russian troops at the Ukrainian border for several weeks, and there was a move to warn NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg. NATO members need to be prepared for the worst of Russia and Ukraine.

“It doesn’t matter if the intrusion is 20% or 80%. You have to be prepared for the worst.” Stoltenberg told reporters on November 30 after the NATO Foreign Ministers’ meeting in Riga, Latvia.

“There is no certainty or clarity about exactly what Russia’s intentions are, they can actually evolve and change,” the NATO chief said, “they previously it. I did. “

Russia was accused of annexing Crimea from Ukraine in 2014 and sending troops and weapons to support a pro-Russian uprising in two self-proclaimed republics in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine. I’m denying it.

Maxim Samorkov, a fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center, wrote on Monday that “Putin is very insensitive to what he wants in Ukraine and what he is ready to go to get it.” ..

“President Putin said he wants an agreement to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO in just a few days, and he also wants a Western promise not to deploy NATO’s military infrastructure in Ukraine.” Said. Samorkov said in an editorial.

He added that the Kremlin sent two messages to the United States last year. Status. “

Uncategorized US intelligence documents obtained by Reuters show Russia’s military activities on Russian territory and Russia’s attached Crimea near the Ukrainian border.

Reuters

“Putin hopes Biden will eventually face an unpleasant dilemma. The message is simple. Washington is a particularly humiliating replay of recent events in Afghanistan, with partner Ukraine military. You need to support yourself to be defeated in a healthy way. You can retreat and compromise with Moscow over Ukraine. “

The Kremlin does not seem to have the illusion that the first option would cost Russia’s economy and international status enormously, he added. Russia’s national interest “

Allies involved

US, European and NATO officials have all warned Russia of a military aggression against Ukraine, telling Moscow that this will have serious political and economic implications, and already international about the merger of the Crimean Peninsula. Has been sanctioned.

Ukraine is not a member of NATO, so the military alliance has no obligation to protect the country. Therefore, it is unclear how far the US and EU will go to protect Ukraine.

French, US, British, German and Italian leaders talked about rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine on Monday night, according to a spokesperson for Downing Street.

“Russia has eased tensions and reaffirmed its firm support for Ukraine’s territorial integrity,” a spokesman said in a statement, “emphasizing the need to provide a united front in the face of Russia’s threat and hostility.” I did. ” “”

After Biden talked to Putin, the leaders would talk again, the spokesman added. According to Reuters, Putin Biden’s video call is expected to take place around 3 pm London time.

Russia itself does not seem to have great expectations for the conference. On Monday, the night before the talks, the Kremlin described the state of US-Russian relations as “very sad,” Reuters said.

Meanwhile, Russia continues to look east towards Asia for trade and diplomatic relations. Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agreed at a bilateral meeting in New Delhi on Monday to sign more than 20 agreements in various areas and cooperate in regional security.

Biden aims to prevent conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but lacks time

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The post Biden aims to prevent conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but lacks time appeared first on Eminetra.

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